Monday, March 10, 2003
Privatization Blues
www.msnbc.com
By Joseph Contreras
NEWSWEEK INTERNATIONAL
Foreign takeovers have sparked a backlash—but for poor governments, there’s no turning back
March 17 issue — When Luiz Inacio Lula Da Silva was sworn in as Brazil’s president in January, he vowed to uphold all existing contractual agreements that he inherited from his predecessor. That was a big promise: Fernando Henrique Cardoso had sold off scores of state companies to the global private sector, raising $103 billion from the auctions. But some of those firms are now putting Lula’s pledge to the test.
THE U.S. CONGLOMERATE AES, for example, missed a deadline last month for paying $329 million on the billion-dollar debt it acquired with the purchase of the state-owned utility Eletropaulo. Officials of a government development bank refused to extend the deadline, suggesting they may be ready to begin foreclosure proceedings against AES, a move that would in effect restore public-sector control over the electric-power company. “Both parties are still talking,” said an energy-industry insider close to the negotiations.
Could the Eletropaulo case trigger a rollback of other unprofitable, or controversial, privatization deals? Worried foreign investors hope not. Many Latin Americans will remember the 1990s as the Great Fire Sale Decade: from shipyards to steelworks, hundreds of billions of dollars in assets changed hands, remaking the skylines from Tijuana to Tierra del Fuego. Out went the lumbering, money-losing dinosaurs of the state-led economy with their alphabet soup of acronyms—YPFB, Entel, Telebras. In came Telefonica, Vivendi, BBVA and other standard-bearers of a new, globalized world. The sell-off brought consumers many benefits—a new phone line could be installed within a few days instead of months, for example—but a price also had to be paid. The rates charged by Eletropaulo and all other newly privatized electric-power and phone companies have soared, creating a consumer backlash that has swept across the hemisphere. “We want to get our companies and natural resources back,” thundered Bolivian opposition leader Evo Morales last year. “We can’t allow them to be concentrated in the hands of a few transnational corporations.” That message helped Morales finish a surprising second in the 2002 Bolivian presidential elections.
Other politicians in the region have adopted a similar stance. In Argentina, where long-suffering consumers once welcomed the sale of inefficient state enterprises, Peronist presidential candidate Nestor Kirchner has called for a revision of all government contracts with the private firms that operate the country’s passenger railroads. Kirchner is responding to growing public dissatisfaction at the poor service offered by some of the private railroad operators. In Peru, former president Alan Garcia has restored some of his political clout by pointedly attacking the long-distance phone rates charged by the Spanish telecommunications giant Telefonica, which acquired the state phone company in 1994. A 1990 opinion survey by the Belo Horizonte polling firm Vox Populi found that about 75 percent of all Brazilians favored privatization policies; a decade later that figure had fallen to 25 percent.
What happened? When prices rise, especially for basic services, foreign owners make an easy target for angry customers. For example, in the fall of 1999, a consortium led by the California engineering corporation Bechtel won a 40-year concession to provide water to the Bolivian city of Cochabamba. Within weeks of its arrival, the company announced hefty rate increases that, in some cases, doubled or even tripled water bills. The price hikes triggered a general strike and violent clashes between police and irate demonstrators in February 2000 that left one dead and hundreds injured. The unrest was so severe that Bechtel managers fled the country. The water contract was abruptly canceled. A spokesman for Bechtel argues that the government raised the rates, by an average of 35 percent, to pay back debt accumulated by the public utility that had previously operated the system.
Experts say the street protests and campaign rhetoric do not presage a wholesale state takeover of companies that went private in the 1990s. Latin American governments simply don’t have the money to buy back and run the companies, let alone invest in their infrastructure. Privatization may be a dirty word at the grass-roots level of many societies, but that view hasn’t necessarily taken hold among the majority of government leaders. Analysts note that, in some cases, rate increases are inevitable when utilities switch from public to private ownership. Public utilities often subsidized their rates, and lost money. Private firms want to make money in exchange for their investments. In a recent survey of Brazilian businessmen, judges, military officers and other members of the country’s elite, political scientists Amaury de Souza and Bolivar Lamounier found that 70 percent still favor opening up the economy to foreign investors. “For a country that is struggling to pay its debts and keep the public deficit under control, re-nationalizing privatized companies is out of the question,” says Roberto Teixeira da Costa, a So Paulo banker who heads the Brazilian Center on Foreign Relations.
Tighter government oversight of privatized companies is a more realistic option. In one of his strongest public pronouncements as president of Brazil, Lula lashed out at the country’s autonomous regulatory agencies responsible for the telecommunications and electricity sectors. He accused them of setting steep rate hikes that are fueling inflation. The problem is more complex. Utility —rates are tightly pegged to a wholesale-price index that is rising by more than 22 percent annually. Lula’s complaint prompted speculation that his government might try to take a more direct hand in determining future rate increases. But executives fear that such market meddling would set a bad precedent—and besides, experts argue that the real problem is that the privatization of Bra-zil’s energy sector hasn’t gone far enough. While private companies distribute three quarters of Brazil’s power, the government still controls 80 percent of electricity generation. Trying to set prices in such a system is a nightmare. “There’s no way to promote competition in a government-controlled market,” says Peter Greiner, who served as Brazil’s Energy secretary in the late 1990s.
Newsweek International March 17th Issue
• International Editions Front
• Cover Story: Saddam's War
• World View: Is This the New World Order?
• Letter From America: Let's Make Love, Not War
• International Periscope & Perspectives
• International Mail Call
• The Last Word: Jose Maria Aznar For all the problems in the energy industry, privatization has mostly worked in Brazil and other countries. Brazil’s steel, banking and telecommunications industries are now booming under private ownership. In the 12 years since Brazil auctioned off its various state-owned Telebras phone companies, the number of fixed telephone lines in the country has nearly doubled. Cellular phones, once a luxury, are now as common as football jerseys. El Salvador has embraced privatization with such gusto that even road maintenance in that country is handled by outside contractors. “We have to separate reality from the noise sometimes,” says Miguel Lacayo, the Economy minister of El Salvador. “The perception can often be that privatization hasn’t been very effective, but the truth of the matter is that things have improved.”
As Lula ponders what to do about an ailing foreign company, he might do well to consider the approach of another Latin politician who didn’t always follow “the model.” Outgoing Ecuadoran President Gustavo Noboa defied an International Monetary Fund edict last year when he scaled back cooking-gas prices that had sparked an uprising among some of the country’s indigenous communities. Noboa felt compelled to make that move, but he still backs privatization as a sound policy tool for promoting economic growth. “Privatization isn’t bad,” he told NEWSWEEK. “Our countries don’t have the money to manage all the companies, and we need serious foreign investors to extract the [natural] resources that we cannot extract on our own.” With improved regulatory oversight, and a fair, long-term focus by corporate owners, there is no reason privatization shouldn’t work.
With Mac Margolis, Peter Hudson and Jimmy Langman in South America, and Dan Moreau in New York
Salomon Brothers High Yield Bond Fund
Posted by sintonnison at 3:35 AM
in
brazil
www.nytimes.com
By CAROLE GOULD
INVESTMENT grade bonds now account for about 12 percent of the $587 million Salomon Brothers High Yield Bond fund — a portfolio that typically owns no such high-rated bonds, says its manager, Peter J. Wilby.
He bought those bonds after the crashes of Enron and WorldCom last year. "Other bond managers were running for the exits," Mr. Wilby said, "and that created big opportunities for us."
The overall credit quality of the portfolio's 200 issuers averages a rating of double-B from Standard & Poor's. (Junk bonds are those rated below triple-B.) The portfolio contains big chunks of triple-B bonds as well as single-B bonds bought in recent months.
The fund's trailing 12-month yield is 9.54 percent, compared with 8.94 percent, on average, for high-yield bonds tracked by Morningstar Inc.
The fund's duration, a measure of interest-rate sensitivity, is 4.5 years, mirroring the Salomon Smith Barney High Yield Market index, he said, "so it has junk bonds' typical sensitivity to interest rates."
But Mr. Wilby said that as interest rates rose, an improving economy would reduce credit risk, "allowing a high-yield fund to do quite well in that environment."
The fund returned 1.7 percent a year, on average, for the three years through February and adjusted for its front-end load, or sales charge, of 4.75 percent. That puts it in the top 16 percent of all high-yield bond funds, which lost 2.3 percent a year, on average, according to Morningstar. The fund returned 3.1 percent in the 12 months through February, adjusted for the load, compared with 0.3 percent for its group.(The fund's current 4.5 percent load is not yet part of Morningstar's database.)
Mr. Wilby, 44, is a managing director of Salomon Brothers Asset Management, the fund's adviser.
The fund can buy corporate or government bonds, typically denominated in dollars, anywhere in the world. Emerging-markets debt, which can account for up to 35 percent of assets, is now about 20 percent, Mr. Wilby said, because he is cautious about overseas risks.
The allocation is based on his 12-month forecast of credit quality.
"Even though the U.S. economy is sluggish," he said, "I see credit quality improving because companies have been punished for carrying too much debt and have spent the last year cleaning up their balance sheets."
Other factors should also contribute to a strong high-yield market, he said. As for corporate accounting scandals, the worst should be over, he said, and a war with Iraq has already been factored into the market.
The fund is about 5 percentage points overweight in the cable and media industries, compared with the Salomon Smith Barney High Yield Market index, Mr. Wilby said, because of his aggressive buying of bonds in these sectors during their meltdown last summer.
Mr. Wilby works with eight sector analysts to pick individual issuers. Over all, he said, he tends to avoid rapid-growth companies with no cash flow. Currently, he owns issues like AT&T and Sprint, as well as other beaten-down bonds. He also looks for above-average expected 12-month returns, based on an issue's price and yield.
He visits companies' executives, too. "We want to see that management is competent," he said, "and not so pro-shareholder that they don't understand their fiduciary duty to creditors as well."
He sells bonds when his industry or credit-quality outlook changes or an issuer's credit quality weakens.
In July, Mr. Wilby bought 9.87 percent subordinated debt due in February 2013 and issued by Cablevision Systems, the cable operator. He paid $67 for each $100 of face value. The bonds now trade at $103.50; they are rated B+ by Standard & Poor's.
Mr. Wilby said the bond's price did not reflect "what we believe to be the true value of the assets." The company generates cash flow, he said, and its core business is solid.
N August, he bought a 7.25 percent coupon bond due in 2011 and issued by Ford Motor Credit. He paid $92.31 for each $100 in face value of the bonds, which now trade at $93.00. They are rated triple-B by Standard & Poor's.
The biggest bond issuers were under the most selling pressure last spring, Mr. Wilby said, as bond investors reduced their holdings of large-capitalization, investment-grade bonds to diversify their portfolios. " Ford started trading like a cheap high-yield bond," he said, partly because investors exaggerated what they saw as Ford's competitive disadvantage to other automakers.
In July, Mr. Wilby bought 12 percent coupon bonds issued by the Brazilian government and maturing in April 2010. "The government was under a lot of pressure" at the time, he said, as investors feared that the Workers' Party candidate for president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, "would not be market friendly" if elected. But Mr. Wilby said he thought that those fears were exaggerated.
Market confidence has improved, he added, after Mr. da Silva's victory in October. The bonds, for which he paid $63.50 for each $100 in face value, now trade at $76.75.
No lack of issues for women
Posted by sintonnison at 3:32 AM
in
women
www.theage.com.au
Sunday 9 March 2003, 10:05AM
Hundreds of thousands of women all over the globe turned out to remind the world that they are still far from equal citizens, with a looming war in Iraq adding extra anger to many of their protests.
Events to mark International Women's Day ranged from traditional marches in many cities and towns to a rare conference in the Afghan capital Kabul, an exhibition of dolls representing women's professions in Singapore, an austere ceremony in the North Korean capital Pyongyang and a high-profile protest over violence against young women in France's poor suburbs.
Many of the marches played up the problem of violence against women, and some of them suffered violence, as in famine-hit Zimbabwe, where police beat protesters, some of them with babies on their backs, and arrested others in the city of Bulawayo.
There was also trouble in the southern Indian city of Hyderabad, where firecrackers caused a stampede at a women's march, leaving one person dead and several injured.
A particularly poignant protest in the Bangladeshi capital Dhaka focussed on the horrific problems of acid attacks against women, with a number of victims of the practice, often carried out by unrequited lovers, taking part.
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In Russia, where International Women's Day was made into a major event by the former Soviet authorities and is often marked by gifts of flowers from men, protesters pointed to the prevalence of conjugal violence, which kills more women than a major war.
A non-governmental organisation said some 14,000 women were killed by their partners each year in the country -- as many people as died in all of the 10-year Russian war in Afghanistan.
Violence was also high on the agenda in France, where rapes and other attacks on young women in tough suburbs have recently been in the news.
A campaign sparked by the murder of a woman in a Paris suburb, who was set on fire by her boyfriend in October last year, led to a prominent theme in this year's protests, announcing that young women were "neither whores nor submissive".
In Poland women protested against the restrictions placed on abortion since the fall of communism, burning a copy of the country's law at a rally in Warsaw.
In Afghanistan, 3,000 women attended a conference in the capital Kabul, although President Hamid Karzai failed to show up as planned. Afghan women also got their first radio station, broadcasting mostly educational programmes.
In neighbouring Iran some 300 women took part in the first Women's Day march since the Islamic Revolution of 1979.
In Argentina protests focused on the widespread hunger and misery since the country's economy fell apart, and in neighbouring Brazil, also struggling against widespread poverty, President Luiz Ignacio Lula de Silva asked his compatriots to do more to enhance the status of women.
Long after the first marches began in Asia and Oceania, protesters were still rallying in much of the Americas.
Several of the protests in the United States were due to have an anti-war tinge, with women rallying near the White House in Washington and others in San Francisco planning to project a huge anti-war symbol onto the city's Golden Gate Bridge.
Dreams on pointe
Posted by sintonnison at 3:30 AM
in
cuba
english.eastday.com
A group of young girls, ranging in age from 6 through 8, form a line before a classical ballet session at the National Ballet headquarters.
Every little girl in Cuba shares the same dream: to become a ballerina. Thanks to a long-ago promise by the Cuban government that making classical ballet accessible to the public, and the talents of the National Ballet of Cuba founder Alicia Alonso, that dream can come true, writes Mar Roman
The dance studio is hot and muggy, but the aspiring National Ballet of Cuba dancers don't seem to notice as they twirl and jete with scrupulous precision to the beat of the piano.
Only a few of the dancers will be selected to perform the next "Sleeping Beauty" or "Cinderella" at Havana's elegant Gran Teatro, but that doesn't dim their enthusiasm. All remain hopeful, giving each class and rehearsal all they've got, secretly hoping that it's the girl next to them who doesn't make the cut.
Top dancer Viengsay Valdes made the cut, living proof that dreams do come true. "My childhood dream was to be a ballerina, just like any Cuban girl," says the 26-year-old.
After donning her first pair of ballet slippers at 9, Valdes went on to become one of the few top ballet dancers in a country whose ballet company is among the world's best and where masses, not the elite, are the true classical dance aficionados.
As Valdes leaves the studio, dozens of girls between 5 and 8 years old file into the room in their colorful leotards, forming lines to await their first ballet steps - and their first taste of the discipline that classical dance requires.
The popularity of ballet in Cuba is only natural, Valdes postulates. "Because dancing is part of our culture," she says, referring to the island's mix of African and Spanish roots.
The government-funded classical dance program is world-class, training dancers for a company that has performed in 58 countries and received about 300 international awards.
Founded by Cuba's living ballet legend Alicia Alonso in 1948, the National Ballet has managed to forge its own style from ballet's two major techniques, the Russian and the British.
Alonso, an 82-year-old former prima ballerina, retains a strong grip over the company, even though she now has trouble moving and can barely see.
A familiar figure with her proud, turban-wrapped head and wide mouth, Alonso built Cuba's classical dance program from the ground, training several generations of dancers who quickly became some of the most sought- after in the world.
After having been the company's director, choreographer and teacher, Alonso still decides what the dancers will wear, who will go abroad, with whom they will dance and what role they will dance.
And since the beginning, she has done it with the support of Cuban President Fidel Castro and his government.
"After the revolution triumphed in 1959, Castro knocked on Alonso's door to offer the new government's help. He promised that he would make (ballet) available to all social classes," said Miguel Cabrera, ballet school historian.
"The government paid for everything from the building to rehearsals, salaries and ballet shoes," Cabrera added.
Government support has been important in making ballet a prestigious occupation. As a top dancer, Valdes receives a government salary similar to that of an important scientist or doctor: about 600 Cuban pesos (US$25) a month.
She has toured with the Cuban ballet and as a guest with foreign companies, giving part of her foreign earnings to the government.
"Now my target is to achieve international recognition," says Valdes. "But no matter what I do, I will always be linked to this ballet and to my country."
(The Associated Press)
IMPERIAL ROOTS: His great-great granddad reigned over Brazil -- and he'll be treated like royalty at tonight's Wolfsonian Ball
Posted by sintonnison at 3:28 AM
in
brazil
www.miami.com
Posted on Sat, Mar. 08, 2003
BY NERY YNCLAN
nynclan@herald.com
MAN OF MANY FACETS: Eudes d'Orleans-Braganza, whose ancestors include European and Brazilian royalty, is a wine connoisseur and golf aficionado.
If you were to sketch Eudes d'Orleans-Braganza's family tree, it would be a distinct royal blue.
He details the regal highlights as if he were reciting a grocery list:
``My mother's grandfather was the last king of Bavaria. My father's great-grandfather was the son of the last king of France, and there we get Orleans. He married the princess of Brazil, and there we get Braganza. The princess Isabel of Brazil married Louis Gaston d'Orleans. He was the count of Eu, who was the son of the Duke of Nemours, who was the son of the last king of France.''
Lost yet? Fast-forward a couple of generations, and the genealogical bottom line is that Orleans-Braganza is the great-great grandson of Brazil's last emperor, Dom Pedro II.
Despite the colorful lineage, a career as a submarine commander and a much-publicized brush with death, the life of this wealthy Rio de Janeiro businessman doesn't include crowns and curtsies. But he will be treated like royalty on Saturday as the guest of honor at the Wolfsonian Imperial Propaganda Ball.
This is the Miami Beach museum's annual fundraising weekend, which will highlight the current exhibition, From Emperors to Hoi Polloi: Portraits of an Era, 1851-1945, on view through June 24 at 1001 Washington Ave. The ball and exhibit are among a variety of special events that began Friday.
Executive director Cathy Leff says the museum decided to celebrate Brazil because so many Brazilians live and travel in South Florida and so many non-Brazilians are unaware of the country's unique imperial past. It was Wolfsonian founder Micky Wolfson, she says, who insisted they track down the imperial family in the flesh.
''When they said yes, we thought it was fantastic. It brings the past up to the present,'' says Leff. ``To be able to celebrate the history of Brazil and personify it with the imperial family -- it's the ideal.''
Brazil was under Portuguese colonial rule until 1889, after a coup sent the country's second and last emperor, Dom Pedro II, into exile in Europe.
BLOODLESS COUP
University of Miami Professor Jerry Haar says the peaceful nature of the coup meant much of the family could return to Brazil in later years.
''Brazil was never ruled with an iron fist. There wasn't this level of violence you saw in other monarchies,'' Haar says. ``For some, there is some kind of nostalgia for the monarchy like you see in the U.K. It's their little fantasy, but it's much ado about nothing. Most Brazilians chuckle at that kind of stuff.''
Orleans-Braganza, 63, says he visits Florida often for its golf courses, amusement parks and stone crabs. He acknowledges that the average Brazilian would not recognize him and that generally the media stay away.
'Really, it's in Europe where there are still monarchies that we get the `Your Highness' and 'Prince' thing,'' he says. ``In Brazil, if we do something wrong we will have the front pages. But we stay quiet. We're good.''
Brazilian journalist Heloiza Herscovitz, an assistant professor at Florida International University, says descendants of the monarchy are largely ignored by media because of the colonial connection.
''Most people in Brazil are worried about getting money for bread and milk -- not about royal descendants,'' Herscovitz says.
Even so, Orleans-Braganza says he and his wife, Mercedes, have been followed more closely in the news than his 11 siblings over the years for a personal reason. On their honeymoon in April 1976, the couple's small plane crashed into a jungle mountainside en route from Jamaica.
They were rescued six days later, along with the pilot.
''My wife had the worst injuries, terrible burns, broken bones. She was in treatment for eight months,'' he says. ``I was blind in one eye and my left side was almost destroyed, but I could walk. We found a hidden marijuana plantation and found some rice in a bag there. It was raining all day, so we had water. On the sixth day, we were found and taken to Miami. It was the fastest I have ever gotten through customs in Miami in my life.''
REARED ON FARM
Orleans-Braganza was born in France at the beginning of World War II but grew up in Brazil on a farm. ''Communism took everything we had in the eastern countries,'' he says. ``We didn't inherit anything. What our parents gave us was a very good education. Everyone had to make their own destiny.''
Orleans-Braganza went on to serve as lieutenant commander on two submarines in the Brazilian navy before moving into business. He's now a board member of Grupo Brasil, a holding company with annual revenue of $350 million that directs industrial suppliers to automotive companies. He's also chairman of one of the group's interests, Vulcan, a major pipe manufacturer.
As for contemporary Brazilian politics, Orleans-Braganza says he is optimistic about the government of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva despite a recent spate of gang violence.
''Lula came into office as an avowed leftist, and now he's acting as a centrist,'' he says. ``From a business point of view, the new presidency makes us hopeful. He has chosen good people to run the most important ministries and to continue a policy of not letting the country go into default.''
Although Orleans-Braganza has not sought political office, he has the resumé of a diplomat. He speaks six languages and is a wine connoisseur and golf aficionado. He has designed golf courses in Brazil and is president of the Brazilian Golf Federation.
His six children live in Brazil. He will attend the ball with his wife and eldest son, Luiz Philippe, an executive with AOL Latin America in Rio.
GOOD, BAD JOKES
Daughter Maria Francisca, a graphic designer, says the blue blood has its ups and downs.
''I have always enjoyed being able to travel and visit different family members all around the world. It is always so interesting to hear them talk about our history and to know that my family has had such a big impact in history and the way the world is today,'' she says.
``People here in Brazil have always made little jokes, but in a caring way, and I enjoy that because it kind of breaks the ice. On the other hand, some people are jealous and sometimes make very rude jokes about it.''
The father says it comes with the territory, and that all children descended from royalty become accustomed to the perks and the pokes.
Asked if anyone ever jokingly calls him ''emperor,'' Orleans-Braganza says with a wink: 'Oh yes, all my brothers and me have gotten that all our lives from the wives and the family -- `my emperor,' 'my prince.' Sometimes in a good way -- and sometimes not in a good way.''
BLUE BLOOD?
The Web is full of sites to help you find your roots. Experts say Genealogy Detective is a great tool for beginners and pros. It costs $24.97 and downloads into your computer directly from rwm.net