Tuesday, April 15, 2003
Left turn: 'Revolution' hits Venezuela's oil culture
World > Americas from the April 15, 2003 edition
The Christian Science Monitor
By David Buchbinder
CARACAS, VENEZUELA – At the gleaming offices of Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA), the country's state-owned oil giant, a corporate revolution is under way. Nine-to-fivers have come to think of themselves as patriots. Senior managers now eat at the same cafeteria tables as secretaries. And former soldiers have left the battlefield for the boardroom.
After PDVSA workers walked off the job last December in a bid to force Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez from office, the fiery populist hitched his social revolution to the $110 billion business: He purged the company's ranks and installed his own people. What was widely regarded as a world-class energy company before the strike has a new philosophy: to help the poor. And a new corporate culture is gradually taking shape, injected with the president's particular brand of leftist ideology.
Whether or not this do-good idealism can prevail amid the high-pressure realities of running the world's fifth-largest oil supplier remains to be seen. For a country that relies on PDVSA for 50 percent of its federal budget, the success or failure of this massive corporate social experiment could have ripple effects throughout the country - even the world - for years to come.
"The old culture is dead, and a new one is developing," says Omar Enrique Perez, a compensation analyst with 15 years at the firm, who is working to slash salaries across the board - including his own. "Because we feel we have to do something about the problems that are confronting our country, and we believe our work will help Venezuela develop."
While PDVSA's rhetorical about-face has yet to lift up the poor - even in the stone-broke villages that surround the oil refineries - change has swept through the company's Caracas headquarters.
In addition to the classless cafeteria, volunteerism is up, and salaries are said to be on their way down. The dress code has been loosened, and in some departments the high-five has replaced the curt nod in the hallways.
"There has been a change of mentality in all levels of the company," says a member of PDVSA's board of directors, who speaks on the condition of anonymity. "We believe that PDVSA should be subordinated to the needs of the state. For us, job No. 1 is fighting poverty."
The main force reshaping the company's philosophy is Chávez himself. The former paratrooper has handpicked company managers to promote his vision for a more egalitarian society and has vowed to plow more oil profits into social programs.
PDVSA has been staggered by the dismissal of 17,000 workers, nearly half the workforce, forcing the company to bring in help from private industry and, controversially, the ranks of the active-duty military. One commander, who helped put down the short-lived coup against Chávez a year ago by driving a tank up to the gates of the presidential palace, is now assisting with restructuring efforts now under way. Another soldier uses a military metaphor to explain the role of the Army in the oil company.
"We're here to establish a beachhead, move in, and clean the place up," he says. "When we are finished ... we will move on."
A humanitarian oil company is almost a contradiction in terms, though, and many critics are dismissive of the lofty sentiments heard inside the company.
"Plain and pure rhetoric," says Edgar Leal, senior associate with Cambridge Energy Research Associates, in Cambridge, Mass. "What are they going to do, have PDVSA start distributing food? They have a business to run."
The man in charge of this business is Ali Rodriguez, a former guerrilla fighter who ran the OPEC oil cartel until he was installed by Chávez as company president. Mr. Rodriguez has not won over his critics, including the far left, who question his decision to eschew an oil embargo against the United States by countries opposed to the war in Iraq.
But Rodriguez has signed on with the government game plan - to divert some revenue to federal coffers that would otherwise be reinvested in PDVSA. The government says infusions of cash into schools and hospitals has already pushed down illiteracy and infant mortality rates.
Previously, PDVSA's management used its considerable degree of autonomy to aggressively explore for oil, develop new technologies, and acquire overseas assets. The new PDVSA management says much of that money was wasted, and points to operating costs that are three times higher than other oil majors as proof. Officials at the energy ministry say that restructuring will save $1 billion a year.
But critics say the new system can't be sustained. "Chávez and Rodriguez will probably use whatever they can get out of PDVSA for projects this government wants to do," says Michael Coppedge, a political science professor and Venezuela specialist at the University of Notre Dame in South Bend, Ind. By some measures, PDVSA's production capacity has already suffered as a result. The company was operating 120 oil rigs only four years ago. Today that number has fallen to less than 40. "They may be able to extract more revenue from PDVSA than before for a short time, and then production capacity will fall, and the oil industry will deteriorate and won't be able to produce as much and earn as much," Mr. Coppedge adds.
Oil industry experts also say that the loss of many skilled laborers and specialists will negatively impact PDVSA's long-term capacity to grow and produce.
More important, they say that oil alone cannot meet all of Venezuela's needs, even in the rosiest of scenarios.
"There's a myth in this country that petroleum can save us, but at least in the short term, that's just not possible," says Elie Habalian, a retired professor and an expert in petroleum economics. "To Venezuelans, oil is like blood; without it, this country would be nothing. But sooner or later, we're going to have to find other solutions to our problems."
World from the April 15, 2003 edition
Reporters on the Job
• REEDUCATION TAKES TIME: Contributor David Buchbinder went to Venezuela's state-run oil company recently to report on high-minded efforts to give its elite corporate culture a more populist flair (see story). During his visit, not surprisingly, he was given a grand tour of the company's facilities. Then he and his hosts headed out to lunch at one of Caracas's finest restaurants.
It was a bit surprising to a reporter who expected something more on the lines of an arepa, a corn bun filled with meat or black beans that is Venezuela's answer to the tuna-fish sandwich. "It was the best meal I ever had in my life," says David, who dined with three company employees. The food, service, and atmosphere were without compare - but David found the VIP treatment at odds with the corporation's stated goals of helping the poor.
"I estimate the cost of lunch, depending on the prices on the spot market that day, at around three or four barrels of oil," he says.
Amelia Newcomb
Deputy world editor
For democracy's sake, US must get out of Iraq
<a href=english.aljazeera.net>Aljazeera
Robert Jensen
The US attack on Iraqi has brought the collapse of Saddam Hussein's brutal regime, which is cause for celebration. For the first time in at least 35 years, the conditions could exist for Iraqis to chart their own destiny.
Now the United States has a crucial part to play in making Iraqi
self-determination a reality: It must get out.
President Bush has told the Iraqi people: "We will help you build a
peaceful and representative government that protects the rights of all citizens. And then our military forces will leave." Will US occupation continue until US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld is satisfied with the pace and direction of Iraqi learning
Bush has the sequence wrong; a truly representative government in Iraq is possible only if US military forces leave first. The reason is simple: Liberating the Iraqi people was part of the Bush PR campaign to justify a war, but it was not the motive force behind US policy. Neither were stated concerns about weapons of mass destruction or alleged terrorist ties.
Fundamental goal Bush's fundamental goal in Middle East policy is no different from other administrations since World War II: To strengthen US control over the flow of the region's oil resources and the resulting profits.
In a world that runs on oil, the nation that controls the flow of oil has considerable strategic power, not only over the terms of its own consumption but over other nations. US policymakers want leverage over the economies of our biggest competitors -- Western Europe, Japan and China -- which are more dependent on Middle Eastern oil.
From this logic has flowed US support for monarchies (Saudi
Arabia), dictatorships (Iran under the Shah, Iraq in the 1980s) and
regional military surrogates (Israel) -- always aimed at maintaining
control.
A "democratic" government in Iraq will be allowed if, and only if, such a government lines up with US interests. The United States will allow the trappings of a democratic process as long as the process produces the right result.
This approach to democracy has been a consistent feature of US foreign policy. While many acknowledge that in the past the United States has supported dictators and derailed real democracy abroad, the conventional wisdom is that things have changed since the end of the Cold War.
Two recent examples suggest that though tactics may change, the goal remains the same. In Afghanistan, US support for "democracy" included strong-arm tactics at the loya jirga to eliminate a role for former king Zahir Shah and force his withdrawal as a candidate.
After the fall of the Taliban, there was considerable support for his return to the country to play a unifying role, but Bush officials preferred their handpicked candidate, Hamid Karzai.
In Venezuela, US officials were quick to proclaim support for last year's abortive coup attempt that temporarily displaced the elected president, Hugo Chavez. Even more embarrassing was the revelation that US officials had met with Venezuelan military officers and opposition activists, including the nominal leader of the coup.
Because Chavez defied the United States, the democratic process by which he had been elected was irrelevant.
Democracy in Iraq
What will democracy mean in Iraq? When Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld was asked on Sunday whether the United States would accept in Iraqi elections a victory by candidates opposed to US policy, he waffled. The lack of a history of political freedom in Iraq meant that sometimes "people end up not understanding what really are the facts," he said. How long does it take to reverse that? "It takes some time."
Will Iraqis be allowed to choose their own government only when their understanding of the facts matches Rumsfeld's? Will U.S. occupation continue until Rumsfeld is satisfied with the pace and direction of Iraqi learning?
An ongoing US occupation will not be embraced by most Iraqis, with the exception of figures such as Ahmed Chalabi of the Iraqi National Congress exile group -- a "reliable" leader (defined as willingness to accept US orders) preferred by many in this administration.
Gen. Tommy Franks has said US forces will stay in Iraq "until there is a free government." Like his commander in chief, Franks misses the point: Real freedom stand a fighting chance only if the U.S. military withdraws and a U.N. peacekeeping force takes over the work of stabilizing the country. American military power can remove a dictator but -- given US actions in Iraq and the Middle East -- it cannot create meaningful democracy. --- Al Jazeera
Robert Jensen is an associate professor of journalism and author of "Writing Dissent: Taking Radical Ideas from the Margins to the Mainstream."
UPDATE 2-Hughes loss narrows,raises view on DirecTV results
<a href=reuters.com>Reuters
Mon April 14, 2003 12:43 PM ET
(Adds analyst quote, details, share price)
NEW YORK, April 14 (Reuters) - Hughes Electronics GMH.N on Monday said its first-quarter loss narrowed and its revenue rose on stronger-than-expected results at its DirecTV unit, the No. 1 U.S. satellite broadcaster.
The improvements led the company, in which Rupert Murdoch's News Corp NCP.AX NWS.N agreed last week to buy a controlling stake, to raise its financial and subscriber estimates for 2003, and suggested to one analyst that consumer spending could be recovering.
"This is the first concrete evidence of strong consumer demand we've been hearing about for communications items ranging from satellite TV and radio and cell phones," Cowen analyst Tom Watts said.
Hughes said its loss narrowed to $50.9 million from $837.7 million last year. The El Segundo, California-based company, which trades as a tracking stock of parent General Motors GM.N , does not report an earnings-per-share figure.
The improvement was primarily due to impairment charges last year related to its now-defunct fast Internet service DirecTV Broadband and DirecTV Latin American, the bankrupt broadcaster in which Hughes has a 75 percent stake.
First-quarter revenue rose 10 percent to $2.23 billion from $2.02 billion last year, compared with a Wall Street consensus of $2.14 billion, from a range of $2.1 billion to $2.18 billion, according to Multex.
Hughes said its earnings before interest tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) rose to $305 million from $164.5 million last year. EBITDA is a measure of cash flow often used to track the performance of media companies as it excludes charges associated with the capital intensive satellite industry.
Analysts polled by tracking company Multex on average expected Hughes to post EBITDA of $208.53 million, in a range of $183.1 million to $242 million.
Hughes said it expects to report revenue of $9.5 billion to $9.6 billion in 2003 compared with its previous estimate of $9.3 billion to $9.5 billion. It also raised its EBITDA estimates to $1.15 billion to $1.2 billion from an earlier forecast of $1.1 billion.
The company raised its 2003 expectation for net new DirecTV subscribers, including customer turnover, to 800,000 to 850,000 from previous estimates of 750,000 to 800,000 subscribers.
DirecTV ended the quarter with a total of 11.4 million subscribers, including rural areas where the broadcaster resells its service.
Excluding its rural resellers, which lost 30,000 subscribers in the quarter, DirecTV signed up 275,000 new subscribers, Hughes said.
DirecTV Latin America, which suffered from regional turmoil including a strike in Venezuela, ended the quarter with 1.5 million subscribers, down 7 percent from the end of the first quarter last year, the company said.
DirecTV's revenue rose 16 percent to $1.7 billion from $1.47 billion last year due to subscriber growth and an increase in average revenue per subscriber (ARPU),Hughes said.
DirecTV's ARPU increased $2.40 to $59.10 in the quarter as more customers bought local channels and premium programming and paid additional fees for multiple set-top boxes.
Hughes shares were up 38 cents, or 3.6 percent, at $10.90 in midday trade on the New York Stock Exchange. This compares to a 52-week high of $17 and a year low of $8.
Sonoran Energy Now Featured on MacReport
Posted by click at 4:39 AM
in
Energy
<a href=new.stockwatch.com>stockwatch.com
2003-04-14 12:37 ET - News Release
LOS ANGELES, April 14, 2003 (PRIMEZONE) -- Sonoran Energy, Inc. (OTCBB:SNRN) announced today that CEO John Punzo and Sonoran Energy, Inc. are now featured on MacReport.Net, a leading provider of online business and financial information, to increase the Company's exposure to the investor community at: www.macreport.net
Sonoran Energy has had a very positive recent history and is poised for growth and expansion. The MacReport.Net is an information and media company that provides a Web-based forum for public and private issuers to communicate corporate audio and video news content to the business, financial and investing community through its Web site, located at www.macreport.net. The MacReport.Net also plans to provide creative and production services to develop visual events ranging from live coverage of merger announcements to public relations campaigns to new product introductions.
Sonoran Energy recently announced that it has successfully reactivated eight of the 12 wells on its Emjayco Glide #33 Property and has started production. The Company anticipates reactivating four additional wells over the next 60 to 90 days. Sonoran also recently announced that it has acquired working interests in three natural gas producing properties in California's Sacramento Basin from Archer Exploration, Inc. Sonoran Energy has acquired varying percentages in the three properties that are producing 3,700 Mcf/day. These acquisitions increase the Company's natural gas production and reserves, and move Sonoran Energy closer to its goal of producing 2,500 to 5,000 Mcf/day. Through its partnership with Longbow LLC the Company intends to continue to make acquisitions over the next 12 to 24 months to reach this goal and enable the Company to become a producer of 1,000 to 1,500 BOE per day.
Domestic U.S. oil producers like Sonoran Energy, Inc. are positioned to significantly benefit from rising demand for U.S. domestic oil production in light of the brewing International oil production crisis due to war, strikes, and terrorist threats.
Just this month, the Nigerian subsidiaries of Royal Dutch/Shell Group (NYSE:RD) (NYSE:SC), ChevronTexaco Corp. (NYSE:CVX) and TotalFinaElf (NYSE:TOT) halted production totaling 817,500 barrels a day, or about 40% of Nigeria's output of some 2 million b/d amid violence between rival ethnic groups, the Ijaws and Itsekiri, leading up to April 19 parliamentary and presidential elections. Militant Ijaws reportedly threatened to blow up multinational oil installations they said they had captured in retaliation for government military raids. Additionally, oil-well firefighters from Houston-based Boots & Coots International Well Control (AMEX:WEL) are traveling to southern Iraq to assess damage in the country's key Rumaila oil fields. The firefighting teams are looking at a timetable of 30 to 45 days to extinguish the fires and cap the wells. But one source said the timing will depend on ``what's all there.'' The Pentagon has contacted a number of major oil industry service companies -- among them Halliburton Co. (NYSE:HAL), once run by Vice President Dick Cheney -- to repair any of Iraq's wells that are damaged and assess everything from wells to pipelines and pumping stations.
Venezuela's oil industry collapsed in December, when employees at state-owned Petroleos de Venezuela walked off the job, angry about changes in the company under the administration of President Hugo Chavez. By the height of the strike, 16,000 employees had walked out, and production shrank to 200,000 barrels a day, costing Venezuela $6 billion. The country had to import fuel to keep vehicles moving, and drivers waited days at gas stations. The strike, which failed to oust Chavez or call early elections, was strongest in the oil sector, though businesses around the country shut down.
About Sonoran Energy
Sonoran Energy's primary objective is to identify, acquire and develop working interest percentages in smaller, underdeveloped oil and gas projects that do not meet the minimum requirements of major oil and gas corporations. Sonoran Energy's goal is to be recognized as a promising junior oil and gas producer.
Certain statements in this news release may contain forward-looking information within the meaning of Rule 175 under the Securities Act of 1933 and Rule 3b-6 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and are subject to the safe harbor created by those rules. All statements, other than statements of fact, included in this release, including, without limitation, statements regarding potential future plans and objectives of the company, are forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate and actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements.
CONTACT: Sonoran Energy
John Punzo
(866) 599-7676
info@sonoranenergy.com
www.sonoranenergy.com
Top Of The News --With Kirkuk In U.S. Hands, Oil Prices Dip
Posted by click at 4:36 AM
in
oil
Forbes.com
Dan Ackman, 04.11.03, 8:57 AM ET
NEW YORK - The U.S. military capture of Iraq's northern cities of Kirkuk and Mosul and the nearby oil fields has ended doubts that Iraqi oil would flow and eased oil prices in international markets. While the fate of Iraq's shattered economy is very much in doubt, U.S.-led forces are at least in control of the nation's oil wealth, which the Bush Administration has said it will deliver to the Iraqi people.
The Iraqis will need it. While no one knows what the cost of rebuilding Iraq will be, some in the administration have placed it at $20 billion annually for years to come. That figure would nearly exhaust Iraq's entire oil export revenue, assuming it sells 2.5 million barrels a day (slightly more than estimated exports in recent years) into the international market at $25 per barrel.
The war news led the price of London Brent oil to fall 32 cents to $24.15 a barrel. U.S. light crude dipped 36 cents to $27.10. These prices are about 10% lower than when the shooting war started and are substantially less than the near $40-per-barrel levels reached during prewar spikes; oil is still selling for more than it has in recent years. Between 1999 and 2002, the world price for oil averaged $23.20, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
Whether Iraq will be able to tap its oil to pay rebuilding costs is not at all clear. The country is estimated to owe something like $60 billion to $100 billion to foreign creditors, and Kuwait is still seeking even more than that figure in reparations relating to the 1990 invasion.
Some oil traders see prices falling further with the war over--but OPEC, of which Iraq is a founding member (if not a participant in its councils in recent years), has other plans. "With all the Iraqi oil facilities now in allies' hands, there seems to be no threat to medium- or long-term Iraqi supplies and the market is marking that down," John Waterlow, oil analyst at Wood Mackenzie in Edinburgh, Scotland, told Reuters. "I think there is more downside to the market."
But OPEC has said it wants to maintain prices at a minimum of $25 per barrel and may urge production cuts to do so. Such action would mean stopping the increased production it allowed before the war to ease fears or even new production quotas, OPEC President Abdullah al-Attiyah said yesterday.
But with Iraq on its way to rejoining the international community--meaning it can sell more oil--why haven't oil prices fallen fully back to their recent averages? After all, following the last Gulf War, oil prices fell sharply. But this post-war is different, says Tina Vital, Standard & Poor's oil and gas equity analyst, in a survey published yesterday. "Today's prices reflect more than war worries; they also reflect tight supplies." Even disregarding Iraq, supplies have been squeezed by disruptions in Venezuela and recently Nigeria. "By March 2003, U.S. oil inventories had reached a 27-year low of below 270 million barrels," Vital says.
Iraq can add to that supply, but how quickly and to whose benefit are open questions.
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