Adamant: Hardest metal

Colombia March Exports Rise 17% on Manufactured Goods (Update1)

May 29 (<a href=quote.bloomberg.com>Bloomberg) -- Colombian exports rose 17 percent in March as trade benefits that the U.S. granted for help in its war on drugs spurred shipments of manufactured and semi-manufactured goods such as clothing and plastic parts.

Exports rose to $1 billion worth of goods from $859 million in the same month a year earlier, the government's statistics agency in Bogota said.

Sales of Colombian goods abroad may help the country sustain an economy that had its fastest growth since 1998 in the first quarter, analysts said. Higher oil prices before the war in Iraq boosted the value of Colombia's biggest export while shipments to the U.S. helped counter a decline in sales to Venezuela, Colombia's second-biggest trade partner before a devaluation and strike that led to a record contraction in its economy.

This is very, very positive,'' said Alberto Bernal, who covers Colombia for research company IDEAglobal.com. The growth in manufactured and semi-manufactured goods means trade benefits granted by the U.S. are giving better-than-expected results.''

Colombian exports of non-traditional goods, ranging from textiles to steel, leather goods, pearls and precious metals, rose 25 percent to $559 million, while exports of oil rose 16 percent to $285 million, the agency said.

Exports to the U.S. rose 19 percent to $256 million after the U.S. last year extended and expanded reductions in duties in exchange for Colombia's help in promoting legal alternatives drug trafficking.

Exports to Venezuela fell 21 percent to less than $1 million, because of currency controls implemented in the neighboring country and a 29 percent contraction of its economy in the first quarter that crippled purchasing power.

Last Updated: May 29, 2003 16:17 EDT

CAF says approves $300 mln financing for Colombia

Reuters, 05.29.03, 12:49 PM ET    CARACAS, Venezuela, May 29 (Reuters) - The Andean Development Corp., or CAF, the financing arm of the Andean community, said on Thursday it had approved $300 million in financing for the Colombian government.

The Caracas-based multilateral lender said in a statement the financing would go to Colombian President Alvaro Uribe's programs to promote competition, social investment and efficiency in public administration in the Andean nation.

In 2002, CAF agreed to approve $3.5 billion in financing for Colombia though 2006.

Colombia's Economy Surges 3.8% in 1st-Qtr on Building (Update2)

May 28 (<a href=quote.bloomberg.com>Bloomberg) -- Colombia's economic grew at its fastest pace in five years in the first quarter, boosted by a surge in construction that has been fueled by low interest rates.

The $82 billion economy grew 3.8 percent in the quarter from a year earlier, compared with 2 percent in the fourth quarter, the national statistics agency reported in Bogota. A median of eight economists surveyed by Bloomberg had projected growth of 2.78 percent. Colombia's economy grew 5.9 percent in the first quarter of 1998.

``People aren't afraid of taking out loans anymore because interest rates are stable,'' said Oscar Ivan Rodriguez, a car salesman at Chevrolet dealership Continautos SA, who says his sales doubled from a year ago.

Interest rates near historic lows have helped spur construction and purchases of big-ticket items such as homes and cars. Falling unemployment in turn has boosted retail sales, increasing orders for manufactured goods and helping to spur economic growth.

Construction grew 15.8 percent in the quarter, the agency said.

The peso fell 0.4 percent to 2,879 in early trade and has declined the same amount so far this year.

The benchmark interest rate -- the average of 90-day deposit rates on which most rates are pegged -- averaged 7.7 percent in the first quarter, from 11.1 percent a year earlier.

``I sold three properties in February compared with only one a year ago as people are buying again because of the low rates and government incentives,'' said Enrique Mendoza, a real estate salesman at Ospina & Cia Ltda real-estate agency.

Prices, Subsidies

Along with the low interest rates, construction is also getting a boost from prices near decade-old levels, a shortage of available units, government subsidies for low-cost housing and tax breaks for high-income home purchases.

Building approvals rose 34 percent in February to 872,601 square meters (1,047,121 square yards) from a year ago, while approvals for the 12 months through February gained 20 percent from the same year-earlier period. Construction has been rising since 2000, even as it hasn't recovered to 1995 levels.

Retail car sales rose 34 percent in March from a year earlier, as low interest rates and promotions offered by dealers boosted purchases. Car loan rates are about 21 percent, down from about 30 percent a year ago.

Continautos' Rodriguez says he sold about 30 vehicles in the first quarter, double what he sold last year, thanks to the low rates and promotions his company was offering. Of those, nine were sport utility vehicles, compared with none a year ago, as theft of the four-wheel drive vehicles dropped off as the government stepped up its war against leftist rebels.

`Highly Prized'

Nobody wanted to buy them when they were being stolen and taken to the former demilitarized zone, as they were highly prized'' by the rebels, said Rodriguez. Now the security measures in place are giving people confidence to travel by road again and investment in general is picking up.''

The army's February 2002 invasion of a former demilitarized zone used for peace talks was the prelude to a general government crackdown on the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia's four- decade insurgency that has led to a decline in kidnappings, increased security on highways and greater investor confidence in the nine-month-old administration of President Alvaro Uribe.

Another sign of restored confidence is the strength of the peso, which is unchanged for the year, compared with a 21 percent decline last year. The 10 percent coupon global bond due in January 2012 rose in February and March and reached a historic high of 114.8 on May 12, with its yield down at 7.6 percent.

Industrial Production

Industrial output, excluding coffee processing, rose 5 percent in February from the year-earlier month, an eighth consecutive month of gains. Output of building materials has helped lead the rise in industrial output. Industrial sales rose 5.7 percent.

``The strong use of installed capacity in factories and the high energy usage growth of 4.3 percent in April from a year ago, indicate that industry should do well,'' said Felipe Gomez, head of research at Suvalor brokerage in Medellin.

Exports to Venezuela, the No. 2 trading partner, have been slashed two-thirds due to a strike and currency controls in the neighboring country. Still, Colombia has countered that effect by increasing exports to the U.S. and other markets. Last Updated: May 28, 2003 13:12 EDT

Colombian Car, Home Purchases Signal Stronger First-Qtr Growth

May 28 (<a href=quote.bloomberg.com>Bloomberg) -- Colombia's economy probably grew at its fastest pace in two years in the first quarter, as low interest rates and growing confidence in the government's security and economic policies boosted demand, especially for houses and cars.

The $82 billion economy likely grew 2.78 percent in the quarter from a year earlier, compared with 2 percent in the fourth quarter, according to a median of eight economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

``People aren't afraid of taking out loans anymore because interest rates are stable,'' said Oscar Ivan Rodriguez, a car salesman at Chevrolet dealership Continautos SA, who says his sales doubled from a year ago.

Interest rates near historic lows have helped spur construction and purchases of big-ticket items such as homes and cars. Falling unemployment in turn has boosted retail sales, increasing orders for manufactured goods and helping to spur economic growth.

The national statistics agency may announce preliminary first- quarter growth figures today.

A senior planning department official told a local Internet news service, Primerapagina.com, that the economy grew 3.3 percent in the first quarter, even as statistics agency officials said the figures were still being calculated.

The benchmark interest rate -- the average of 90-day deposit rates on which most rates are pegged -- averaged 7.7 percent in the first quarter, from 11.1 percent a year earlier.

``I sold three properties in February compared with only one a year ago as people are buying again because of the low rates and government incentives,'' said Enrique Mendoza, a real estate salesman at Ospina & Cia Ltda real-estate agency.

Prices, Subsidies

Along with the low interest rates, construction is also getting a boost from prices near decade-old levels, a shortage of available units, government subsidies for low-cost housing and tax breaks for high-income home purchases.

Building approvals rose 34 percent in February to 872,601 square meters (1,047,121 square yards) from a year ago, while approvals for the 12 months through February gained 20 percent from the same year- earlier period. Construction has been rising since 2000, even as it hasn't recovered to 1995 levels.

Retail car sales rose 34 percent in March from a year earlier, as low interest rates and promotions offered by dealers boosted purchases. Car loan rates are about 21 percent, down from about 30 percent a year ago.

Continautos' Rodriguez says he sold about 30 vehicles in the first quarter, double what he sold last year, thanks to the low rates and promotions his company was offering. Of those, nine were sport utility vehicles, compared with none a year ago, as theft of the four- wheel drive vehicles dropped off as the government stepped up its war against leftist rebels.

`Highly Prized'

Nobody wanted to buy them when they were being stolen and taken to the former demilitarized zone, as they were highly prized'' by the rebels, said Rodriguez. Now the security measures in place are giving people confidence to travel by road again and investment in general is picking up.''

The army's February 2002 invasion of a former demilitarized zone used for peace talks was the prelude to a general government crackdown on the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia's four-decade insurgency that has led to a decline in kidnappings, increased security on highways and greater investor confidence in the nine- month-old administration of President Alvaro Uribe.

Another sign of restored confidence is the strength of the peso, which is unchanged for the year, compared with a 21 percent decline last year. The 10 percent coupon global bond due in January 2012 rose in February and March and reached a historic high of 114.8 on May 12, with its yield down at 7.6 percent.

Industrial Production

Industrial output, excluding coffee processing, rose 5 percent in February from the year-earlier month, an eighth consecutive month of gains. Output of building materials has helped lead the rise in industrial output. Industrial sales rose 5.7 percent.

``The strong use of installed capacity in factories and the high energy usage growth of 4.3 percent in April from a year ago, indicate that industry should do well,'' said Felipe Gomez, head of research at Suvalor brokerage in Medellin.

Exports to Venezuela, the No. 2 trading partner, have been slashed two-thirds due to a strike and currency controls in the neighboring country. Still, Colombia has countered that effect by increasing exports to the U.S. and other markets.

Alberto Bernal, who covers Colombia for IDEAglobal.com, said construction should gain 6.5 percent, manufacturing 6 percent, retail 2.75 percent and financial services 4 percent in the quarter from a year earlier.

The following chart provides a breakdown by analyst and research firm of forecasts for GDP growth for the first quarter compared with the same period a year earlier.

Firm Forecast

Alianza Valores 2.75% IDEAglobal.com 2.8% Acciones y Valores SA 2.8% Corfinsura SA 2.29% Suvalor SA 2.29% Santander Investment 3.4% BBVA Banco Ganadero SA 2.6% Citibank Colombia SA 3.0%


Bloomberg News survey estimate (median): 2.78%

 (Source: Bloomberg News; figures for the calculation were

provided by the National Statistics Department and the National Planning Department)

Last Updated: May 28, 2003 08:23 EDT

Colombia says more cattle foot-and-mouth free

Reuters, 05.26.03, 7:01 PM ET

BOGOTA, Colombia, May 26 (Reuters) - Colombia has declared new regions of the country as free of foot-and-mouth, bringing to 52 percent the total of its cattle of 22 million head as free of the disease, the government said on Monday.

The measure, certified by the Paris-based International Epizootic Office, includes 1.5 million cattle in the northern regions of Antioquia, Bolivar, Cesar, Norte de Santander and Santander, the Colombian Agriculture and Livestock Institute said in a news release.

"The certification will allow Colombia to increase its exports of beef products to other markets. The government is expecting visits by technical commissions from Chile and the United States in hopes of extending sales to those countries before the end of the year," it said.

Colombia, which says it has not detected a case of foot-and-mouth disease for the last 10 months, hopes to be totally free of the disease by 2005.

The highly-contagious virus causes sores on cloven-footed animals' feet and mouths, reduces meat and milk production and interferes with reproduction. It does not affect humans but eliminating the disease is a necessary step toward negotiating access to major world beef markets.

Colombia's beef exports in 2002 tumbled to 2,509 tonnes, against 10,101 tonnes in 2001, hurt by sales to neighboring Venezuela, which has been hit by an opposition-led general strike and currency controls.

Copyright 2003, Reuters News Service

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