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Saturday, July 5, 2003

Fitch Raises Venezuela's Long-Term Debt Rating on Oil Output

June 23 (<a href=quote.bloomberg.com>Bloomberg) -- Venezuela's long-term debt rating was raised by Fitch Ratings as increased oil production reduced the risk of default on the country's $29 billion of debt.

The rating upgrade raised Venezuelan debt one level to B-, six levels below investment grade, from CCC+.

The Venezuelan government's near-term financing outlook has improved given the resumption of oil production,'' Fitch said. Furthermore, voluntary domestic debt swaps and recent external bond payments have mitigated concerns about debt service willingness over the near term.''

The rating change underscores lessening concern that Venezuela may have difficulty in making debt payments this year.

Fitch lifts Venezuela's sovereign ratings

Mon June 23, 2003 02:43 PM ET NEW YORK, June 23 (<a href=reuters.com>Reuters) - Fitch said its raised the long-term sovereign ratings of Venezuela on Monday, citing the government's success in restoring oil production levels after a general strike earlier this year choked off output in the lucrative sector.

Fitch said in a statement it lifted Venezuela's long-term foreign currency rating to B-minus, or six rungs into speculative territory, from CCC-plus. It also raised the nation's long-term local currency rating to B-minus from CCC. The outlook on the ratings is stable.

"The Venezuelan government's near-term financing outlook has improved given the resumption of oil production and the measures implemented to avoid a liquidity crisis," said Fitch.

( BW)(NY-FITCH-RATINGS) Fitch Upgrades Venezuela's Sovereign Ratings to 'B-'

BW5724 JUN 23,2003 11:32 PACIFIC 14:32 EASTERN     Business Editors     NEW YORK & LONDON--(<a href=www.businesswire.com>BUSINESS WIRE)--June 23, 2003--Fitch Ratings today upgraded the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela's long-term foreign currency rating to 'B-' from 'CCC+'and its long-term local currency (Venezuelan bolivar) rating to 'B-' from 'CCC'. These rating actions reflect the government's success in getting oil production back up to levels achieved prior to the national strike earlier this year, thereby relieving public financing pressures. Furthermore, voluntary domestic debt swaps and recent external bond payments have mitigated concerns about debt service willingness over the near term. The Rating Outlook is Stable.     The Venezuelan government's near-term financing outlook has improved given the resumption of oil production and the measures implemented to avoid a liquidity crisis. Fitch believes that the risks of further oil production disruptions have been reduced due to the failure of the strike to achieve its objectives and increased government control over PdVSA. Yet the highly polarized social situation and severe economic contraction could provide future political challenges, including sporadic outbursts of social unrest.     In the midst of an unprecedented political confrontation, which has translated into one of Venezuela's worst economic declines in recent history, the government has met all of its debt obligations. In this environment, the government made a US$275 million payment on its Brady bond obligations last week. At the onset of the national strike, Fitch was concerned that pressures on the government's capacity to service its debt as a result of oil revenue losses could ultimately affect its willingness to pay. To its credit, the government reduced its 2003 budget by 10% and has been under-executing this revised budget by 40%. Similar to the authorities' projections, Fitch expects the central government deficit to reach 1.8% of GDP this year, compared with 3.4% of GDP in 2002, representing a significant fiscal adjustment. However, a collapse of more than 50% in non-oil revenues combined with increased spending pressures, due either to the deteriorating social situation or a ramp-up in expenditures prior to a referendum and/or early elections, cannot be ruled out. The authorities continued to conduct market-based domestic debt swaps, extending close to US$754 million in DPN maturities over the medium-term. In addition, the authorities have been successful in securing new financing through private placements, which could reach US$950 million in 2003.     Venezuela's debt service capacity remains strong relative to similarly rated sovereigns and has been strengthened with the end of the oil strike. Since the implementation of capital controls and the resumption of oil exports, the country's international reserves have increased from a low of US$13.5 billion in January to US$16.5 billion in mid-June. At 153% (not including assets in the macroeconomic stabilization fund, the FIEM), Venezuela's external liquidity ratio currently exceeds the 123% median of 'B/C/D' rated countries. Assuming capital controls are not liberalized this year, this ratio could increase to an estimated 224% by year-end. Including an estimate for the loss of revenue due to the halt in oil exports, Venezuela's expected current account surplus position in 2003 will still be more than enough to cover its external amortizations and stock of short-term external debt this year, which Fitch estimates at about US$6.6 billion. The government should not have any difficulty meeting its financial requirements for the remainder of 2003. External amortizations amount to US$915 million, while domestic amortizations are about US$1 billion in the second half of this year.     Although recent changes to macroeconomic policy, including a fixed exchange rate and capital controls, have strengthened the government's ability to service its debt, the non-oil private sector is paying the cost of these measures. Future upgrades would be dependent on a viable resolution of the political crisis and improvements in the government's macroeconomic policy framework.     A comment detailing Fitch's analysis for this rating upgrade will be available shortly.

--30--IK/sf*

CONTACT: Fitch Ratings, New York
         Theresa Paiz Fredel, 212/908-0534  
         Roger M. Scher, 212/908-0240
         Media Relations: 
         Matt Burkhard, 212/908-0540

KEYWORD: NEW YORK VENEZUELA INTERNATIONAL LATIN AMERICA
INDUSTRY KEYWORD: BANKING BOND/STOCK RATINGS
SOURCE: Fitch Ratings

Sidor Cuts $1.88 Billion Debt to Banks, State in Half (Update2)

June 23 (<a href=quote.bloomberg.com>Bloomberg) -- Siderurgica del Orinoco CA, Venezuela's biggest steelmaker, said it reached an agreement with creditor banks and the government to reduce $1.88 billion of debt by half in a bid to return to profitability after five years of losses.

Thirty international and domestic banks, including Citigroup Inc. and Deutsche Bank AG, agreed on the accord, which cuts the company's debt to about $791 million. The Venezuelan government, which sold a majority stake in the company to private investors in 1997, will increase its holding to 40 percent from 30 percent, the steelmaker, based in Puerto Ordaz, Venezuela, said in a statement.

Sidor, a producer of steel slabs used to build cars and appliances, is restructuring debt for the second time in three years after a two-month national strike curbed revenue and state restrictions on the sale of dollars complicated Sidor's ability to get foreign currency. President Hugo Chavez made the survival of the former state company, which employs 5,000, a priority.

``The government made a concerted effort to resolve this problem,'' said Robert Bottome, an analyst with research company Veneconomy in Caracas.

Citigroup spokeswoman Danielle Romero-Apsilos declined to comment.

As part of the debt agreement, some of the company's shareholders, excluding the government, agreed to invest $133.5 million in Sidor. The company had been in negotiations with creditors for 18 months, following the company's missed interest payment of $31.3 million in December 2001.

Sidor produces steel slabs that can be rolled into plate or sheet. The company's output is about 3.5 million tons a year.

Before the agreement, Sidor was 70 percent-owned by Argentina's Siderar SAIC, Mexico's Hylsamex SA de CV, Tubos de Acero de Mexico SA, Brazil's Usinas Siderurgica de Minas Gerais and Venezuela's Siderurgica Venezolana Sivensa SA. The Venezuelan government owned the remainder.

Venezuelan Guayana Corporation (CVG) submits industrial exchange proposals with Brazil

<a href=www.vheadline.com>Venezuela's Electronic News Posted: Monday, June 23, 2003 By: David Coleman

Following up on a bilateral Brazil-Venezuela Enterprise Meeting in Manaus (Brazil), the Venezuelan Guayana Corporation (CVG) has submitted defined proposals for commercial and industrial exchange in hydroelectric power, iron & steel, aluminum, forestry, utilities and tourism sectors.

Some 400 Venezuelan and Brazilian businessmen had met in Manaus to thrash out details work and project achievements, including the second bridge over the Rio Orinoco ... 60 % has already been completed in a joint Venezuelan-Brazilian venture and is on-schedule for completion by the second half  of 2004.

Venezuelan- Brazilian Chamber of Commerce president Jose Francisco Marcondes explains that a Guayana Steel project aims to produce 1 million metric tonnes of especial iron for the automotive industry and expresses satisfaction over the quality and quantity of results from the Manaus meeting with representatives from Venezuela's Bolivar State and Brazil's Amazonas region ... "we feel a certain amount of cohesion between both nations and we have high hopes for exchange possibilities in agriculture, agro-industrial, tourism and the metal-mechanic sector where our focus is on each region's potential to provide raw materials and technology."

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