Adamant: Hardest metal
Saturday, January 25, 2003

Santana proposes alternative referendum not to lose face

www.vheadline.com Posted: Friday, January 24, 2003 - 3:07:44 PM By: Patrick J. O'Donoghue

Queremos Elegir leader Elias Santana says the democratic opposition will recognize the Supreme Tribunal of Justice (TSJ) decision to suspend the consultative referendum, even though the decision is “illegitimate … we won’t stand outside the TSJ with government politicians to burn tires or throw stones at the National Guard like the Chavists.”

  • The TSJ decision, Santana contends, is a provocation and shows that the Executive controls the Legislative and a great part of the TSJ.

 Santana suggests that on February 2 the democratic opposition will hold a symbolic “alternative referendum” in 2,000 places throughout Venezuela where "citizens can sign up for a recall referendum, a constituent assembly or any other legal instrument within the democratic path that will rid us of Chavez Frias."

Chavez foes seek foreign push for Venezuela poll

www.fortwayne.com Posted on Fri, Jan. 24, 2003 By PASCAL FLETCHER Reuters

CARACAS, Venezuela - Foes of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, struggling to maintain the momentum of a 54-day-old strike, lobbied on Friday for international pressure to push the leftist leader to accept early elections.

As the strike moved toward its ninth week, opposition negotiators were in Washington, where a group of six nations formed to tackle the Venezuelan crisis was to hold its first meeting at the Organization of American States.

Former U.S. President Jimmy Carter was due to outline proposals to end the crisis at the Washington meeting.

The opposition shutdown has slashed oil output by the world's No. 5 petroleum exporter, pushing up world prices. It has also triggered a fiscal crisis for the Venezuelan government, forcing it to suspend foreign exchange trading and cut back budget spending by 10 percent.

But, in a sign that Chavez is making some headway in his efforts to break the strike, oil production and exports have been rising again. Still, oil exports, the country's economic lifeblood, were only a quarter of normal levels and striking state oil executives voted Friday to maintain the stoppage.

The six-nation "group of friends" comprises the United States, Brazil, Mexico, Chile, Spain and Portugal.

Venezuelan oil supplies to the United States, normally more than 13 percent of total U.S. oil imports, have been disrupted by the strike, just when the United States is preparing for a possible war on Iraq.

The "friends" group was created last week to back ongoing efforts by OAS Secretary General Cesar Gaviria to broker a peace deal between Chavez and his opponents, who are pressing the populist president to resign and hold early elections.

OIL REBELS HOLD FIRM

Opposition negotiators said they hoped the group could exert pressure on Chavez to accept the idea of a negotiated electoral solution to end the crisis, which has raised fears of a violent, uncontrollable internal conflict in Venezuela.

"We must be optimistic ... The group can be very important to strengthen the civilized, peaceful option (of elections) to solve our problems," Alejandro Armas of the Coordinadora Democratica opposition coalition told local radio in Caracas, speaking by telephone from Washington.

The opposition negotiators were planning to meet with foreign ministers from the "friends group," which included Secretary of State Colin Powell.

Chavez, a former paratrooper who survived a brief coup last year, is resisting calls for early elections and has vowed to beat the strike. He accuses his opponents of trying to topple him from power by wrecking the economy.

"We do not negotiate with terrorists," he told tens of thousands of supporters who rallied in Caracas Thursday.

Chavez said he had sacked more than 3,000 employees of the state oil giant PDVSA who were the backbone of the strike.

In a tough response, the dissident PDVSA executives voted at an assembly in Caracas Friday to maintain the strike until the government accepted early elections and agreed to them returning to their jobs as part of any peace deal.

Chavez has also expressed objections to the six-nation "friends" group, saying he thinks it should be expanded to include other nations like Russia, China and Cuba, which he views as friendly to his government.

His opponents say the president, who Thursday threatened to close hostile private television channels and take over banks which joined the strike, is ruling like a dictator. They accuse him of trying to install Cuba-style communism in Venezuela.

The polarized positions and increasing outbreaks of violence have added urgency to international peace efforts.

CLASHES BETWEEN PROTESTERS

Police said a grenade exploded Thursday near the pro-Chavez rally in Caracas, killing one man and wounding 15. At least six people have died in shootings and clashes between rival protesters since the opposition strike began on Dec. 2.

Anger and frustration have also been stoked by shortages of gasoline and some food items caused by the shutdown, which has closed many private business, shopping malls and franchises.

Carter, who won the Nobel Peace Prize last year, is proposing two options: one for an amendment to Venezuela's constitution to trigger early elections and the other for an Aug. 19 referendum.

Chavez has already said he is willing to abide by the result of the binding revocatory referendum on his rule which the constitution foresees after Aug. 19, half way through his current term due to end in early 2007.

He has also agreed to the constitutional amendment proposal provided that it follows the correct legal procedures.

But his foes say they do not trust him and that the crisis-hit country cannot wait until August for elections.

U.S. Urges Americans Overseas to Prepare

www.news-journal.com

WASHINGTON (AP)--In a move that appeared to be linked to a possible war with Iraq, the State Department said Friday it is taking steps to alert Americans overseas on how to prepare for emergency situations.

U.S. officials said such advisories are sent out periodically and that the new alert was not necessarily related to developments in the Middle East. But officials were unable to say when the last such advisory had been issued.

State Department spokesman Susan Pittman said the alert ``summarizes general steps American citizens traveling or living abroad should follow to ensure they are prepared for an emergency, whether it is a personal emergency or is the result of political or economic unrest, imminent disaster or terrorist attack.''

Pittman said the message contains advice such as the need to keep prescription medicines available, to keep passports and other travel documents valid and current and to maintain adequate food supplies.

She noted that each year hundreds of Americans return to the United States on short notice because of family emergencies.

``American citizens should always be prepared to depart a country if necessary.'' Pittman said.

In the past year, she said, U.S. officials have intervened to assist in the emergency departure of Americans from a number of countries, including Ivory Coast, Central African Republic, Venezuela, Israel and Indonesia.

Oil Heads Higher As U.S. Renews Pressure on Iraq

24 Jan 03(2:40 PM) |  E-mail Article to a Friend

NEW YORK (Reuters) - World oil prices spiked again on Friday as the United States showed renewed signs of growing impatience with Iraq and said it feared Baghdad was planning to torch its own oilfields in the event of war.

U.S. light crude rose $1.10 a barrel, or 3.4 percent, to $33.35 and London Brent gained 78 cents to $30.50. U.S. crude hit a two-year high of $35.20 earlier this week.

White House spokesman Ari Fleischer called Iraq's refusal to allow scientists to take part in private interviews with U.N. weapons inspectors "unacceptable" and demanded Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein comply "without delay and without debate."

At the Pentagon, the U.S. military said it believed Iraq intended to damage oilfields if war broke out and said it was planning to protect the facilities.

Washington this week shrugged off vocal opposition to the rush to war as China and Russia joined France, Germany and Canada in urging the United States to give inspectors more time in Iraq.

Friday's news was read by traders as underlining Washington's determination to launch military action against Baghdad within weeks if necessary and outweighed evidence that strike-bound Venezuelan production is beginning to recover.

President Hugo Chavez raised the stakes in Venezuela's bitter oil industry conflict on Thursday by announcing 3,000 oil company executives were sacked and saying oil output was rising faster than expected.

TROOPS

Chavez is using troops and replacement crews to break a seven-week-old strike aimed at driving him from office. He still faces huge problems restarting refineries and persuading foreign shippers to resume exports.

Latest shipping data released on Friday showed exports rose to 688,000 barrels a day this week, 25 percent of pre-strike flows and up 60 percent on the week.

Anti-government oil workers concede crude output has risen but say 85 percent of its workforce remain out.

Oil markets are not betting on any swift increase in Venezuelan output.

"For the oil markets, a definitive end of the strike does not translate into an immediate return to pre-strike output levels," said Michael Rothman of Merrill Lynch.

"Reliable indications suggest it may take 30-45 days to get production back to the 1.5 million barrel a day mark with 45-60 days necessary to elevate production by an additional million." Pre-strike output was 3.2 million bpd.

OPEC on Friday made clear that it is already doing all it can to fill the Venezuelan gap with cartel Secretary-General Alvaro Silva saying he saw no shortage on world markets.

"What can we do more? I do not agree there is a lack of oil," he told reporters in Davos on the sidelines of the annual World Economic Forum. "The problem of the price is the threat of war."

Signs are that higher shipments from leading OPEC member Saudi Arabia are flowing in to the United States to blunt the impact of the Venezuelan disruption.

U.S. government figures on Thursday showed crude oil inventories up 1.5 million barrels to 273.8 million during the week to Friday.

The increase defied predictions that inventories would fall below 270 million barrels for the first time since 1975. (richard.mably@reuters.com; reuters messaging: richard.mably.reuters.com@reuters.net; +44 207 542 6280)

U.S., Others Focus on Venezuela Strike

www.newsday.com

By KEN GUGGENHEIM Associated Press Writer January 24, 2003, 4:55 PM EST

WASHINGTON -- Officials from the United States and five other countries looked for ways on Friday to end a violent political strike in Venezuela that has crippled oil production in the world's fifth largest exporter.

The strike has lasted more than seven weeks to press opposition demands that President Hugo Chavez resign or call early elections. Opponents say Chavez's leftist policies have undermined business in Venezuela; Chavez's supporters say the opposition wants to bring down a democratically elected president who enjoys strong support among the nation's many poor.

In a sign of U.S. interest in a diplomatic resolution, Secretary of State Colin Powell attended the start of a meeting at the Organization of American States that included officials from Brazil, Mexico, Chile, Spain and Portugal -- members of a new "Friends of Venezuela" group.

"It's a meeting of friends, so I believe you should have positive expectations for the Venezuelan democracy," Venezuelan Foreign Minister Roy Chaderton told reporters in Spanish as he arrived for the meeting.

Among proposals to be considered were some offered by former President Jimmy Carter to end the strike in exchange for early elections.

Before the meeting, a State Department official said its purpose was to lay out a work agenda, possibly to name a coordinator and to allow OAS Secretary General Cesar Gaviria to outline his view of the state of the negotiations.

Gaviria has been spending months almost full time in Venezuela trying with little success to bring the parties together.

Miguel Diaz, of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said the talks at the OAS were critical.

"If this doesn't pan out, I think Venezuela is left to its own devices," he said. "I'm not sure the Venezuelans themselves will be able to find their way through this crisis without major bloodshed."

State Department spokesman Richard Boucher said Thursday the United States considers the Venezuelan situation "to be very tense, to be very difficult, and that the urgency of reaching a peaceful resolution remains."

Boucher rejected a suggestion that U.S. interest in Venezuela is linked to the likelihood of war in Iraq and the turmoil it could cause in international oil markets.

The United States has approached the latest Venezuelan turmoil gingerly. The Bush administration has little regard for Chavez, who has visited Iraqi President Saddam Hussein and is a close friend of Cuban President Fidel Castro. But after stressing the importance of democracy to the region, it doesn't want to be seen as undermining a constitutionally elected government.

The administration received sharp criticism for appearing to support a coup attempt in April. It has said it opposes any change in Venezuela outside the constitution.

Michael Shifter of the Inter-American Dialogue research group said the April coup has caused the United States to take "more of a hands-off posture" to Venezuela.

"That's not an answer because the chaos is continuing," he said. "The United States is one of the few actors that could positively affect the outcome of this."

While the United States is seen as being able to influence Venezuela's opposition leaders, Brazil's new government, led by leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, is seen as potentially influential with Chavez.

Chavez has said he welcomed international help but warned against outside intervention in Venezuela's affairs.

Violence continued in Venezuela on Thursday when a pipe bomb exploded in Caracas as 300,000 people were rallying to support Chavez. One person was killed an at least 14 wounded.